Application
Instructions:
Each
prospective club member must submit an on-line application that includes
a favorite current investment recommendation. To assist you in this process,
we have provided the guidelines below.
INVESTMENT
IDEA- Should
be about a 500 word (or more) explanation of your investment idea. The
idea may be equity or bond based and either long or short. We prefer ideas
whose operations are US based and follow US accounting standards. Value
Investing does not necessarily require or imply that a stock must be selling at
a low P/E or a low Price/Book ratio (although such opportunities may make
fine investments). Excellent companies selling at a discount to their
intrinsic value may also qualify as "value" investments irrespective of
current P/E, Price/Book or similar ratios (e.g. the notion of value as
articulated by Buffett).
Your idea should include the appropriate valuation criteria for the selected
company that may involve some of the following measures:
| Price/Earnings |
*Total Enterprise Value ("TEV")/EBIT |
Price/Book |
| Forward P/E |
**TEV/(EBITDA-maintenance cap/ex) |
Price/Free Cash Flow |
| Price/Sales |
Return on Equity and/or Assets |
TEV/Sales |
In addition, if any of the following valuation criteria apply to your idea,
please include analysis:
- Normalized earnings and/or free cash flow if different than current
- Future growth rates of sales, earnings and/or free cash flow
- Relative value to similar companies
- Private market value
- Break-up analysis
- Asset valuation
Heavy insider ownership, recent open market transactions, special option
grants or other evidence of extraordinary management incentives should
be noted.
Please focus on any special insights that you
may have into the company or the particular situation. Detailed
operating descriptions can easily be found in the 10-K so space should
not be wasted with readily available information that is not central to
the basic investment thesis.
CATALYST
- should explain what action, event, situation or future
realization will cause the market to recognize the value discrepancy that
you observe. Examples could include an impending regulatory/legal change,
expected sale/merger, spin-off, split-off, restructuring, large buyback,
product introduction, management change, or other. Sometimes no catalyst
is identifiable, but value discrepancy is too large to ignore.
Definitions:
*TEV (Total Enterprise Value)-is
defined as (market capitalization
(price times # of shares outstanding) plus
interest bearing debt
plus preferred stock minus excess cash)-this
measure is used when trying to compare companies with different debt levels.
For example, the relevant comparison of value between a home purchased
for $1 million with 200 hundred thousand dollars in equity and an 800
hundred thousand dollar mortgage versus the value of a home purchased
for $1 million in cash with no mortgage can only be made when the purchase
price includes the amount of debt and equity used for the purchase.
EBIT (Earnings before interest and taxes)
- EBIT is often referred to as operating income. Analyzing TEV/EBIT
is a shorthand way of looking at the multiple of total "cost" of the company
(market price of equity plus assumed debt) to the pre-tax cash flow generated
by that company.
**EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)-
adds back the non-cash expenses associated with depreciation and amortization
to EBIT. This is often used as a way to measure how much cash a company
generates to cover interest expense. Amortization is often a legitimate
add back to earnings when trying to determine a company's cash generating
ability. However, adding back depreciation to cash flow is only valid
when considered in conjunction with the amount of capital spending (a
cash outlay) necessary to sustain the current business (see maintenance
cap/ex). Therefore, EBITDA minus maintenance
cap/ex is a more accurate way of arriving at cash generated
to cover interest expense.
Maintenance cap/ex- this is a figure
that represents the amount of capital spending necessary to sustain a
company's current level of sales and earnings. Capital spending necessary
for growth is not included in this number. This number is usually not
disclosed and must be estimated based on information available through
the company or other means. Using EBITDA as a cash flow measure without
subtracting the capital expenditures necessary to keep the business running
at the current level will always overstate a company's cash generating
ability. The cash outlay of maintenance cap/ex can be higher or lower
than the non-cash depreciation charge.
TEV/(EBITDA minus maintenance cap-x)
is sometimes a better way to determine the multiple of total "cost" of
the company (market price of equity plus assumed debt) to the pre-tax
cash flow generated by that company. Capital spending for growth should
usually not penalize the analysis of current cash flows because the benefits
of that spending will not be seen until a future time and did not influence
the current year's earnings. It is the analyst's job to determine whether
the return from new capital spending for future growth will be adequate
to justify the amount of spending.
Free Cash Flow - this figure represents
cash available to shareholders before changes in working capital. It is
computed by taking the net income, adding back depreciation and amortization
and subtracting maintenance cap/ex.
Copyright © 1999 Value Investors Club.com.
|