AWRCF was prohibited from filing consolidated financials due to a dispute with one board member who controlled 20% of the company.With the recent sale by this director of his 20% stake to a US institutional investor (see filings), all lawsuits have been dropped. Now that the lawsuits have been dropped, the company should be filing audited financials for the present time period back to 2004.I believe the consolidated revenue for this Company could be significantly higher than their 2005 consolidated revenue of $341mm given the large increase in the copper price and expansion of Asian economies. I will make some simple assumptions below that will demonstrate why this company could be a multi-bagger once the financial statements are filed.
Asia Pacific Wire & Cable manufactures wire and cable products throughout Asia. It is a profitable company, very similar to General Cable Corp (BGC), yet it trades at .20x revenue versus 1.0x revenue for BGC.The Company has manufacturing operations in Thailand, Shenzhen China, and Brisbane, Australia.The 54% owned subsidiary of AWRCF is a publicly listed company in Thailand, Charoong Thai Wire & Cable(CTW Bangkok exchange).In 2006 CTW earned approximately 523 mm baht or $13.8mm at an average exchange rate in 2006 of 37.91 Baht per US$.The current baht exchange rate is 29.81 Baht per dollar.
CTW is one of the largest manufacturers of Wire & Cables in the Thai market.CTW manufactures a wide range of products including, enameled wire, high and low voltage wire & cable products, and telecommunication wire.CTW sells to the Thai Government, the domestic electronics industry, and the domestic telecommunications industry.
Pacific Electric Wire & Cable (Shenzhen Co., LTD)PEWSC100% owned
PEWSC manufactures enameled wire for the manufacturing industry in the Shenzhen area.The major component of their wire is copper and they pass the majority of the cost onto their customers.
Australia Pacific Electric Wire & CableAPAC 100% owned
APAC is a manufacture of wire & cable for the power and communications industry in Australia.
Other smaller subsidiaries
The Company has some smaller subsidiaries in Shanghai and Ningo, China.In Singapore they also have an operation that manufactures cable and does some design and installation of power cables for the government.I believe most of these are somewhat insignificant so I focus on the three subsidiaries with the most information.
AWRCF has not released full audited financials since 2003 when they had revenue of $211mm and net income of $10mm.The Company has released preliminary financials for 2005 and the Thai subsidiary is a publicly reporting company so I will work off of those two pieces of data to estimate 2005 and 2006 numbers.
2005from June 30, 2006 Press Release:
Consolidated Revenue $341mm
Australian Pacific Electric Cables ltd. (Australian Subsidiary) (100% owned)
Rev9,911,055,615 Baht2006 Average Exchange Rate 37.914*
=USD Revenue of $261mm
Net Income523,089,547 BahtAverage Exchange Rate 37.914*
= USD Net Income $13.8mm
I used the average USD/THB exchange rate for the 2006 Year.Since then the Thai Baht has appreciated significantly and the current rate is 29.81
As these numbers are all I have to work with, I take the 2005 numbers for the Australian & Chinese Sub and add those to the 2006 numbers for the Thai Sub taking into account the respective ownership.
2005 Net income
2006 Net Income
In round numbers it seems very feasible you have at least $11mm in net income or .79 EPS.One must take into account that the average copper price in 2006 was $6,768 per metric ton vs $3553 in 2005 when estimating future numbers.
Price Sales Multiple
BGCGeneral Cable Corp1.0x rev
FSINFushi International Inc.3.4x rev
WIREEncore Wire.60xx rev
The company has announced that they will be holding their annual meeting on Sep 7, 2007.In 2006 when they tried to have their annual meeting they released their preliminary 2005 numbers.Any thing that points to verifying these numbers should attract more interest in the stock.
The company has announced that they will be holding their annual meeting on Sep 7, 2007. In 2006 when they tried to have their annual meeting they released their preliminary 2005 numbers. Any thing that points to verifying these numbers should attract more interest in the stock.