SWK HOLDINGS CORP SWKH
November 12, 2010 - 1:06pm EST by
mitc567
2010 2011
Price: 0.93 EPS $0.00 $0.00
Shares Out. (in M): 41 P/E 0.0x 0.0x
Market Cap (in $M): 38 P/FCF 0.0x 0.0x
Net Debt (in $M): -39 EBIT 0 0
TEV (in $M): -1 TEV/EBIT 0.0x 0.0x

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Description

 

SWK Holdings is a Company that trades at cash with large federal and state net operating loss carry-forwards (NOL's).  SWKH was formerly a software company known as Kana Software.  In January of 2010 the company divested all of its operating assets and was left with a shell company with approximately $39 million in cash and over $400 million in federal and $100's of millions of state NOL's (California is one of the states).   SWKH is currently burning about $200K per quarter in maintaining its public listing and search for an acquisition.  SWKH has a poison pill in place to make sure that they don't lose the utilization of the NOL for technical reasons.  Generally, the NOL would begin to be limited if more than 50% of the 5% or greater shareholders change in any three year rolling period.  The recapitalization transaction done in January caused about 40% of the shares to change hands for counting purposes.  Therefore, any transaction SWKH enters into will not have a meaningful equity component at the parent level.

The Company has stated publicly that it is looking to purchase an operating business to utilize these NOL's.  I have created a model to show the value of this NOL, which is not currently being reflected in SWKH's share price.  The value I come up with for SWKH including the NOL is $2.29 per share.  The assumptions below are simple and are as follows:

  • 1. Purchase of an operating business at 8x EBIT utilizing 50% cash and 50% debt.
  • 2. EBIT growth of 3% per year
  • 3. Cash taxes of 5%
  • 4. Discount rate 8%
  • 5. Terminal multiple of 10X EPS

 

SWK Holdings

 Multiple

         

 EBIT Case

                    8

         

 $ in 1,000's

           

 Mix Cash/Debt 

50%

         
             
 

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

 EBIT

 $     9,000

 $    9,270

 $    9,548

 $    9,835

 $  10,130

 $  10,433

 Interest Expense

 

           2,379

           1,947

           1,514

           1,082

               649

 Pretax Earnings

 

           6,891

           7,601

           8,320

           9,048

           9,785

 Taxes (5%)

 

               345

               380

               416

               452

               489

 Net Income

 

 $        6,546

 $        7,221

 $        7,904

 $        8,596

 $        9,295

 Shares Outstanding

 

         41,237

         41,237

         41,237

         41,237

         41,237

 EPS

 

 $       0.16

 $       0.18

 $       0.19

 $       0.21

 $       0.23

 Terminal Multiple of EPS

           10.00

 

 

 

 

 $       2.25

 Cash Flows

 

 $       0.16

 $       0.18

 $       0.19

 $       0.21

 $       2.48

 Net Present Value

$2.29

         
             
             

 Debt Schedule

 

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

 Beginning Debt

 

 $  37,080

 $  30,900

 $  24,720

 $  18,540

 $  12,360

 Repayment

 

           6,180

           6,180

           6,180

           6,180

           6,180

 Ending Debt

 

         30,900

         24,720

         18,540

         12,360

           6,180

 Average Debt

 

 $  33,990

 $  27,810

 $  21,630

 $  15,450

 $    9,270

 Interest Rate

 

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

             
             

 EBIT Growth Rate

 

3.00%

3.00%

3.00%

3.00%

3.00%

 Tax Rate

 

5.00%

5.00%

5.00%

5.00%

5.00%

             

 Cash on Balance Sheet

           

 Beginning Cash

 $  39,200

 $    3,200

 $    3,566

 $    4,607

 $    6,332

 $    8,748

 Business Purchase

 $(36,000)

         

 Free Cash Flow

                  -  

               366

           1,041

           1,724

           2,416

           3,115

 Ending Cash

 $    3,200

 $    3,566

 $    4,607

 $    6,332

 $    8,748

 $  11,863

             

 ASSUMPTIONS

           

 EBIT growth rate

N/A

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

 Cash Tax Rate

 

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

 Discount Rate

8%

         

 

OTHER INFORMATION

SWKH's hired John Nemelka as interim CEO to identify potential merger or acquisition transactions.  SWKH's largest shareholder is Carlson Capital with about 28% of the equity.  The Company has indicated that they are actively looking for a transaction.  Management has said that they are looking for recurring revenue businesses that generate stable growing cash flows.  They would prefer that the initial acquisition target serve as a platform for additional companies so that they can utilize as much of the NOL as possible.

Catalyst

1. Acqusition of operating business.
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