March 18, 2020 - 8:04pm EST by
2020 2021
Price: 100.00 EPS nm nm
Shares Out. (in M): 35 P/E nm nm
Market Cap (in $M): 3,540 P/FCF nm nm
Net Debt (in $M): 600 EBIT 0 0
TEV (in $M): 4,150 TEV/EBIT nm nm

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  • Arbitrage


Apollo is slated to buy Tech Data for $145 in cash - stock today trades for 100 - this is pretty unheard for a cash deal by a rock solid PE firm


Ackman today was on CNBC saying maybe Apollo and Blackstone will be out of business - seems like hyperbole to me - end of day they have billions (tens of billions) in dry powder to keep buying - maybe some of their prior IRR's will be bad but that's not really my concern, that's something for their LP's to worry about.


End of day - pretty unheard of to see a cash arb deal with no deal risk trading for 30% spread.


The main risk is does Apollo try to renegotiate or walk away - possible they try to negotitate a slight price break, but even then the return would still be superb if they cut the price 10% or so. Also, don't see why they damage their brand over a fairly small deal that ultimately isn't that meaningful to the firm.



I do not hold a position with the issuer such as employment, directorship, or consultancy.
I and/or others I advise hold a material investment in the issuer's securities.


Deal closes when the world reopens

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