|Shares Out. (in M):||25||P/E||0||0|
|Market Cap (in $M):||222||P/FCF||0||0|
|Net Debt (in $M):||94||EBIT||0||0|
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|Trecora Sum of the Parts||2020 EBITDA||Mutiple||Value|
Trecora’s Specialty Petrochemical division generated $21m EBITDA in the first 6-months of 2019, a $42m run-rate. With additional cost cuts and improved reliability, we think Trecora could get the segment to $48m. We’re giving SHR credit for further operational improvements and some pricing but not a material increase in volume even though there will be some polyethylene plant starts in the US in 2019/2020. Specialty wax (excluding custom processing) is generating about $5m today but once the new wax streams are qualified, they will be at $8m in 2020. Custom processing is currently unprofitable so we use a $25m value which is the cost of hydrogenation distillation unit recently installed at TC. AMAK of course is valued at book value but has room to positively surprise.
Monetization of Trecora's stake in AMAK Mine
Sheikh Fahad Mohammed Saleh Al-Athel (11% owner of Trecora) executes a large block trade or reduces his selling pressure
Continued execution of reliability and cost cutting plan
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